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Borussia Dortmund vs. Mainz (Home Win & Over 1.5)
Der BVB have found themselves in possession of a golden opportunity. With only one game left, they have a two-point lead and are now in first place. After eleven years, Signal Iduna Park might be home to the German champions if they win their forthcoming match.
They couldn’t have wished for a more formidable rival. Mainz have lost their last four games and are currently the weakest team in the league. The away game saw Der BVB emerge victorious, 1-2. They’ve won four straight games and have scored twice in three of those victories.
It’s also worth noting that Mainz has won just twice playing at home against Dortmund in the last two decades.
Dortmund won their first game back on Sunday, a 7-goal thriller against Augsburg that they won 4-3, although they should have felt more confident after taking 27 shots. In their 1-1 tie with Stuttgart, Mainz got two efforts on goal but didn’t look very dangerous.
On Sunday, Borussia Dortmund showed off their offensive power by scoring four goals against Augsburg and had 10 shots on target. But they also allowed their opponent to have 14 shots, and the game was just as open as many others BVB has played this Bundesliga season. In fact, 62% of their league games in 2022-23 have seen over 2.5 goals scored, and we can’t see this game going otherwise. Our prediction for this game will be a Dortmund Win and Over 2.5 goals.
FC Köln vs. Bayern Munich (Away Win & Over 2.5)
Bayern Munich are having a terrible season. With one game remaining, they are currently in second position. They must give it their all to win this weekend and hope that the league leaders, Dortmund, slip up.
On the other hand, Koln are comfortable in the middle of the table. They’ve exhausted their last options. They have been eliminated from European competition, and the danger of being relegated no longer exists.
The Bavarians have won 14 of the last 16 head-to-head matchups overall, including an 0-4 victory here in the most recent meeting. Keep in mind that Bayern Munich has never lost a game at this stadium in the prior 11 attempts.
The Bavarians have a perfect record of victories in head-to-head matchups at this stadium during the past eleven years. They now sit in second place, two points behind the leader.
They need to win this forthcoming matchup and hope that the current league leaders, Borussia Dortmund, lose to secure an 11th straight championship.
As things stand, Koln hasn’t won at home since February, and they can’t compete with Bayern Munich’s desperation and resolve. As defending champions, they are heavy favourites to repeat.
Cologne will not be confident about their chances against Bayern Munich because of their past poor performance. However, they won their first match back from the break, while Bayern Munich tied with RB Leipzig. Even if the away team is still the clear favourite, we’d rather bet on total goals. After all, in four of the last five matchups between these teams, the combined score was greater than 3.5 goals, and we expect that trend to continue on Saturday.
Picks for Today, May 27-28th, 2023
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